Gold Soaring … And So Is Cost of Bailout
Gold soared this morning, so I feel vindicated, if not fine.
You saw the gold chart I posted yesterday. Today’s chart is more of the same, only with surging volume, as gold rises to a 3-month high.
That’s usually a bullish sign. The question before us now is, is this a real breakout or the mother-of-all fakeouts? Remember, this is happening when the U.S. dollar is also very strong, and currency markets are much bigger than the metals markets.
I think it’s a risk worth taking. We’ll have to move fast if gold is lying to us, though, so if you’re one of my subscribers, stand by.
Now, here is news you can use for this Friday …
Goldman Sachs says the cost of shoring up banks could run as high as $4 trillion. That’s up from the $1.5 trillion already spent specifically on banks. Why, why, WHY aren’t we proceeding with a Resolution Trust Corporation solution to this? Like the one we used in the Savings & Loan Crisis in 1989. Instead, we keep pouring good money after bad. Yes, an RTC solution would cost money but not as much money as this cockamamie bailout we’re seeing now, and it would mean an end to the whole mess. Right now, the bailout is open-ended. How are we supposed to pay back another $4 trillion? The US economy is shrinking, tumbling the most since 1982.
And that, my friends, is one reason why gold is taking off.
Meanwhile, California — the world’s eight largest economy – is so broke that the state is going to start sending out IOUs. This despite the fact that the governator is going to furlough ALL of the state’s rank-and-file employees for two months. He’d better not furlough the prison guards, because once you stop sending poor people their food stamps, what else do they have to lose? I have to think the chance of riots in California is rising. Meanwhile, California is dealing with the worst drought in its history.
Another sign of impending apocalypse — scientists have invented carnivorous robots. It’s only a hop, skip and a jump to Skynet and the Rise of the Machines.
On the lighter side, here are some cool electric concept cars. Let’s hope we don’t end up too bankrupt to afford them.
You saw the gold chart I posted yesterday. Today’s chart is more of the same, only with surging volume, as gold rises to a 3-month high.
That’s usually a bullish sign. The question before us now is, is this a real breakout or the mother-of-all fakeouts? Remember, this is happening when the U.S. dollar is also very strong, and currency markets are much bigger than the metals markets.
I think it’s a risk worth taking. We’ll have to move fast if gold is lying to us, though, so if you’re one of my subscribers, stand by.
Now, here is news you can use for this Friday …
Goldman Sachs says the cost of shoring up banks could run as high as $4 trillion. That’s up from the $1.5 trillion already spent specifically on banks. Why, why, WHY aren’t we proceeding with a Resolution Trust Corporation solution to this? Like the one we used in the Savings & Loan Crisis in 1989. Instead, we keep pouring good money after bad. Yes, an RTC solution would cost money but not as much money as this cockamamie bailout we’re seeing now, and it would mean an end to the whole mess. Right now, the bailout is open-ended. How are we supposed to pay back another $4 trillion? The US economy is shrinking, tumbling the most since 1982.
And that, my friends, is one reason why gold is taking off.
Meanwhile, California — the world’s eight largest economy – is so broke that the state is going to start sending out IOUs. This despite the fact that the governator is going to furlough ALL of the state’s rank-and-file employees for two months. He’d better not furlough the prison guards, because once you stop sending poor people their food stamps, what else do they have to lose? I have to think the chance of riots in California is rising. Meanwhile, California is dealing with the worst drought in its history.
Another sign of impending apocalypse — scientists have invented carnivorous robots. It’s only a hop, skip and a jump to Skynet and the Rise of the Machines.
On the lighter side, here are some cool electric concept cars. Let’s hope we don’t end up too bankrupt to afford them.
Check out my new gold and energy blog at MoneyAndMarkets.com
posted by Sean Brodrick @ 12:54 PM
Gold Hits 3-Week High on Safe-Haven Demand Gold has breached well above its 200-day moving average against both the euro and the dollar, but the metal remains 11% lower than its 200-day moving average in yen terms. “Since there remains ample upside in yen terms, Japanese investors may deem this as an opportunity to drive up the metal to next key targets, thus prompting global investor demand further higher,” Laidi said.
Source: 
Now 
Looking at a weekly chart, we can see that gold is still in a downtrend. It needs to break out of that downtrend for gold stocks to really take off.
When looking at this chart, be aware that the Great Depression crash is based on the DOW; the three others are for the S&P 500.
My current oil target is $33.
The GLD gapped lower yesterday. It tried to rally today, but that rally seems to be running out of steam. In the short-term, I expect it to go lower, and the 50-day moving average makes a good initial target.
Chart source: 
The rally in the U.S. dollar is weighing on gold just as it bumps its head on overhead resistance. It should head lower from here. The longer-term picture for gold is still good, and corrections are a normal part of any market.
