Red-Hot Resources

"Luck is not chance, it’s toil; fortune’s expensive smile is earned.”

Thursday, October 19, 2006

The Great Copper Dragon of China


Copper is surging again. Why? Because China's economy continues to grow, and China's economy is devouring copper.

Here are some factoids...
  • China is already the world's largest user of copper (it is also the largest consumer of steel and other metals including aluminum and zinc
  • Last year, China's copper consumption jumped 9%. This year is anybody's guess because China keeps predicting its economy will slow down below 9% ... and it refuses to slow down!
  • Gross domestic product rose 10.4% in the third quarter, after an 11.3% gain in the second quarter. Where's that slowdown that Morgan Stanley keeps predicting?
  • Industrial production in China jumped 16.1% in September from a year earlier, after a 15.7% gain in August.
  • Stockpiles of copper on the London Metals Exchange hit a 2-month low yesterday. There is now just enough copper on hand to equal three days of domestic production.
  • Last month, Goldman Sachs Group forecast a global deficit of 101,000 tons of copper this year.

All in all, it sounds pretty bullish for copper to me. Our copper positions in Red-Hot Canadian Small-Caps are doing great (the ones in Red-Hot Asian Tigers aren't too shabby either) and copper is high on my shopping list.

Check out my new gold and energy blog at MoneyAndMarkets.com