Maybe it's nothing...

It's a bit too early to tell, but we may be seeing the first storm of the season form in the Gulf of Mexico. So, this post is only for the paranoid or people who live in hurricane stomping ground (me on both counts).

Here is the update...

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI JUN 09 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING. DESPITE THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS THAT ARE ONLY SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM DURING THE NEXT OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM TOMORROW AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY. EVEN IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOES NOT FORM...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND WESTERN CUBA.

Here is the less-than-organized system they're talking about....

And here are some potential storm tracks...

Now for the good news: None of the models is forecasting more than a tropical storm (50 to 60 mph winds) at peak strength and some are even forecasting that it's much ado about nothing.

Let's hope so. I don't want to see anything this season like some of the storms I talked about in this post.

If the storm does form and head for Louisiana, you'll learn more about it than you ever wanted to know from breathless TV anchors.

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