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Wednesday, April 09, 2008

Hurricane Forecast -- We're So Screwed

I literally shouted aloud in despair when I read this ...

HURRICANE FORECAST TEAM AT COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY PREDICTS WELL ABOVE-AVERAGE SEASON

BAHAMAS - The Colorado State University forecast team upgraded its early season forecast today from the Bahamas Weather Conference, saying the U.S. Atlantic basin will likely experience a well above-average hurricane season.

"Current oceanic and atmospheric trends indicate that we will likely have an active Atlantic basin hurricane season," said William Gray, who is beginning his 25th year forecasting hurricanes at Colorado State University.

The team's forecast now anticipates 15 named storms forming in the Atlantic basin between June 1 and Nov. 30. Eight of the storms are predicted to become hurricanes, and of those eight, four are expected to develop into intense or major hurricanes (Saffir/Simpson category 3-4-5) with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. Long-term averages are 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 intense hurricanes per year.


Read the whole thing at http://www.newsinfo.colostate.edu/.


Update: My friends Mike (a weather bug's weather bug) and Karen are trying to talk me in off the ledge, noting that Gray's forecast fell apart last year.

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