Maybe I Should Be a Political Consultant
Back in February, I picked Mike Huckabee as "my dark-horse pick for the Republican presidential nomination in 2008." Well, guess what. Huckabee is surging in the national polls and tied for second place.
And remember, the leader according to the national Gallup poll is Rudy Guiliani, who is probably going to experience the most spectacular campaign flame-out since Gary Hart. Rudy's scandal is called "Shag Gate," or sometimes "Sex on the City," though I would have preferred "Rudy Booty Gate." You can read some of the salacious details here. Then ask yourself: Does a guy who pays for trysts with his mistress out of public funds -- and if you google "Guiliani + scandal", that's the least serious of the allegations -- sound like a guy who will win the Republican Presidential nomination?
So once Rudy's campaign implodes, that will leave it down to four candidates with a real chance The Gallup Poll lists the second tier as: Huckabee at 16%, Fred Thompson 15%, John McCain 15%, and Mitt Romney 12%. Fred Thompson is only doing so well in the polls because he has name recognition from his TV shows. The fact is, he's running a campaign with all the life of a zombie movie.
So let's narrow it down to Huckabee, John McCain and Mitt Romney. McCain seems to have pissed off a bunch of people in the Republican party for reasons I don't really understand, especially since he's carried so much water for the current President. He's also short on funds. That will crimp your campaign in a hurry.
So that leaves the extremely likeable, underfunded Huckabee and the extremely well-funded, broad-shouldered, hollow-at-the-core Romney. They kind of balance each other out -- one has morals, the other has money -- so maybe they'll be a unity ticket for the Republican party.
And as for Ron Paul ... Well, Ron Paul has many, many supporters in the financial community, but he's ticked off the Very Serious People in the mainstream media so much that he might as well be running as a Democrat for all the respect he gets. I'd like to see Ron Paul run as an independent -- he'd draw support from both parties.
As for where they stand on the issues, that's fodder for another post, and I'd like the field to narrow a bit before I explore that. Maybe one of these weekends.
And remember, the leader according to the national Gallup poll is Rudy Guiliani, who is probably going to experience the most spectacular campaign flame-out since Gary Hart. Rudy's scandal is called "Shag Gate," or sometimes "Sex on the City," though I would have preferred "Rudy Booty Gate." You can read some of the salacious details here. Then ask yourself: Does a guy who pays for trysts with his mistress out of public funds -- and if you google "Guiliani + scandal", that's the least serious of the allegations -- sound like a guy who will win the Republican Presidential nomination?
So once Rudy's campaign implodes, that will leave it down to four candidates with a real chance The Gallup Poll lists the second tier as: Huckabee at 16%, Fred Thompson 15%, John McCain 15%, and Mitt Romney 12%. Fred Thompson is only doing so well in the polls because he has name recognition from his TV shows. The fact is, he's running a campaign with all the life of a zombie movie.
So let's narrow it down to Huckabee, John McCain and Mitt Romney. McCain seems to have pissed off a bunch of people in the Republican party for reasons I don't really understand, especially since he's carried so much water for the current President. He's also short on funds. That will crimp your campaign in a hurry.
So that leaves the extremely likeable, underfunded Huckabee and the extremely well-funded, broad-shouldered, hollow-at-the-core Romney. They kind of balance each other out -- one has morals, the other has money -- so maybe they'll be a unity ticket for the Republican party.
And as for Ron Paul ... Well, Ron Paul has many, many supporters in the financial community, but he's ticked off the Very Serious People in the mainstream media so much that he might as well be running as a Democrat for all the respect he gets. I'd like to see Ron Paul run as an independent -- he'd draw support from both parties.
As for where they stand on the issues, that's fodder for another post, and I'd like the field to narrow a bit before I explore that. Maybe one of these weekends.
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posted by Sean Brodrick @ 8:05 AM
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