Red-Hot Resources

"Luck is not chance, it’s toil; fortune’s expensive smile is earned.”

Thursday, December 28, 2006

Gold, the Greenback, and the Persian Gulf

Here's an interesting trend ...


According to the Bank for International Settlements, the share of foreign-exchange deposits held in dollars by OPEC, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE, fell to a two-year low of 65% during the second quarter, from 67% in the first quarter.

Now we hear that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) will switch 8% of its foreign-exchange reserves from U.S. dollars into euros before September.

The U.A.E. is already “in a limited way” selling part of its dollar reserves, according to UAE Central Bank Governor Sultan Bin Nasser al-Suwaidi. The total value of the UAE's current reserves is $24.9 billion, 98% in dollars and 2% in euros, so the diversification means the UAE will dump nearly $2 billion in greenbacks.

The UAE is just following the trend set by Russia, Switzerland, Sweden, Italy, New Zealand and Qatar -- to stop piling up so many US dollars.

To me, this casts a shadow over the Dollar's rally off its November lows ... that move is starting to look a little long in the tooth. It wouldn't surprise me to see the US dollar start sliding sooner rather than later.

And yes, that should be good news for gold -- which was up $6.60 today, by the way.

Labels: ,

Check out my new gold and energy blog at MoneyAndMarkets.com